The Economist Who will win the US election?

Dear reader,

The Economist has just launched its first-ever statistical forecast of a US presidential election. Using machine-learning techniques to combine polls with fundamental factors, such as the economy and presidential approval ratings, it estimates Joe Biden’s and Donald Trump’s probabilities of winning each individual state and the election overall. It is the first model to correct for differences in the willingness of supporters of each party to talk to pollsters. The model’s projections are updated daily to reflect the latest available data.