From: Forbes - Friday Jan 31, 2020 07:58 pm
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We're just two days away from Super Bowl LIV between the San Francisco 49ers and the Kansas City Chiefs, with kickoff set for 6:30 p.m. Eastern on Sunday. All eyes will be on the showdown in Miami Gardens—or most of them, anyway, with the telecast guaranteed to be the highest-rated of 2020, and perhaps the entire decade. Plenty of news has already come out of the week, including the hacking of NFL and team social media accounts. In this special edition of the Forbes SportsMoney Playbook, we run down everything you need to know ahead of the big game.

Get the latest sports news and analysis of valuations, signings, gambling and billionaire owners in our weekly SportsMoney Playbook newsletter, sent straight to your inbox every Thursday. Read more SportsMoney coverage on Forbes here.

The Matchup

Last year's Super Bowl was a dull affair, but expectations are high for this matchup between the 49ers, the NFL's fifth-most-valuable franchise, at $3.5 billion, and the Chiefs, the 24th-most-valuable franchise, at $2.3 billion. Neither team landed on our list of the NFL's best fans—a ranking based on consumption metrics like local TV ratings, merchandise sales and social media reach—but both should have their share of supporters in Miami. Beware to any fans still thinking of trying to get to the game, though: The cheapest tickets on the secondary market are more than $4,400 each. (Then again, fans paid $25 or more to see little to nothing on Monday.)

The Players

None of the NFL's ten highest-paid players will be on the field Sunday, but don't cry for 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo, owner of a five-year, $137.5 million deal. Four stars, including Chiefs defensive tackle Chris Jones, will soon be able to cash in as free agents, but no player in the game looms larger than Patrick Mahomes, who looks to be the league's new player sales king and also happens to be quite the cereal salesman. Mahomes might have the best arm in the NFL, and his legs have proved equally dangerous in these playoffs. Clearing the way for Mahomes is Stefen Wisniewski, who is making just $930,000 and was acquired only in Week 6 but has proved to be an importance piece for Kansas City.

The Site

Hard Rock Stadium is ready for its close-up after a massive renovation that left no seat untouched. Hungry fans will be in the care of Dayanny De La Cruz, the first female head chef of the culinary program at a Super Bowl, responsible for the Miami-influenced menus at 167 in-stadium suites, 25 concession stands and seven all-inclusive restaurants and clubs.

Jerry Jones' Cowboys and Daniel Snyder's Redskins aren't in the game, but their superyachts are docked nearby for the weekend, next to Falcons owner Arthur Blank's "mini" 295-footer.

The Brands

NFL ratings have mostly been higher this season, which helps explain why Fox sold its entire initial batch of Super Bowl ad slots by late November, far faster than in recent years. A 30-second commercial costs $5.6 million, but it comes with the guarantee of a huge captive audience, which is only bolstered by social media. The buzziest ad this week has surely been Planters' spot killing off Mr. Peanut, which has met criticism after Kobe Bryant's death in a helicopter crash but was probably never a good idea. Hershey is running its first Super Bowl ad since 2008, and Cheetos is likewise back for the first time in more than a decade, with an ad featuring MC Hammer. SodaStream, too, has a '90s icon for a pitchman: Bill Nye. Among the other noteworthy commercials are spots by Olay, targeting an underrepresented demographic, and by WeatherTech, focusing not on its car floor mats but on the recovery of its CEO's dog from a dire cancer diagnosis. The broadcast will again be relatively light on movie commercials, but viewers won't be spared from political ads. Also expect to hear plenty of promotion for #another sport that airs on Fox#.

Brands aren't limiting their spending to the broadcast, either. Lowe's erected an interactive neighborhood featuring 32 custom-built dwellings—one for each of the NFL's teams—and Courtyard by Marriott transformed a stadium suite into a guest room. Nike spent an estimated $2 million renovating Nathaniel Traz Powell Stadium, which hosts seven high school football teams. Its rival Adidas, meanwhile, installed a synthetic football field at Miami Edison High School using its recycled Primeblue material.

The Bets

With gambling legalized in 13 states, Super Bowl LIV is expected to break records for betting volume. Prop bets become more and more popular each year, having gone from being a small fraction of a sportsbook's business a few decades ago to generating more than half the Super Bowl handle at most sportsbooks. (Plus, they're more fun—you can even bet on the commercials.) The Chiefs are favored by 1, and the over-under has risen all the way to 54.5 points, after a stunning 95% of the action came in on the over when the line was set at 51. As you get your wagers ready, just remember: Even after the landmark 2018 Supreme Court ruling on sports betting, Super Bowl squares pools are legally risky.

The Last Word

"Comparison is the thief of joy. I just want to enjoy them both."

Tony Gonzalez

Travis Kelce or George Kittle? No one is better suited to determine which is the best tight end in football than Tony Gonzalez, a Hall of Famer at that position with ties to both players. But he isn't interested in choosing. "Do you like ice cream?" he analogizes. "Do you like cake?" For more of Gonzalez's thoughts on the strengths of the two players, and for Kelce and Kittle's thoughts on each other, read the full story here.

Get the latest sports news and analysis of valuations, signings, gambling and billionaire owners in our weekly SportsMoney Playbook newsletter, sent straight to your inbox every Thursday. Read more SportsMoney coverage on Forbes here.

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