The latest prediction from Ming-Chi Kuo, the analyst who is has the best track record for Apple, is that it will release an iPhone without any ports in 2021. This idea has been floating around for the iPhone for some time. Whenever I point out that it’s time for the iPhone to join every other phone and Apple’s own laptops and iPad Pros and adopt USB-C instead of Lightning, somebody tells me it’s more likely that the iPhone will just go portless. I have, as you might guess, some feelings. I’m just not confident that “Bluetooth will be better next year,” the old joke about how it sucks now but they promise it won’t soon. Will the sorts of things people need a cable for — like the USB microphone I literally used with my iPhone this morning to record a Vergecast segment with Liz Lopatto — be able to work well with current wireless standards? To answer that, I invite you to talk to anybody who regularly tries to wirelessly send high-resolutions photos from their cameras to their iPhones. But even if you assume all that works out, not having a cable to charge is just damnably inconvenient. Think how often you use your phone when it’s plugged in. With current wireless charging options, it’s awkward as hell. You have to leave it sitting on a table or in a dock instead of in your hand. Will Apple come up with some kind of magical wireless charging solution that works at middle distances instead of direct-contact pads? I wouldn’t bet on it, not by 2021. Will there be weird cabled charging pads people carry around? Will Apple manage to speed up wireless charging speeds? This is the company that had to cancel its own wireless charging pad, AirPower. All this is just grumpiness based on speculation. I don’t want to believe Apple would do something that would so inconvenience so many of its customers. Maybe all of it will come to naught because Kuo got this one wrong — his track record is impressive, not perfect. Dieter |